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I think AI literally makes even being wrong feel like getting something done. And that is the addictive part for people.

Look at all this text I have! It can't be worthless right?!

"If it were me and some coworker that made all that text in an afternoon, it would represent a lot of real labor and thought and billable-hours, so it must be valuable!"

"Near-Miss" effect: https://harprehab.com/blogs/the-psychology-of-risk-why-gambl...

I believe that's the strongest pattern in LLM gambling. Was listening the Syntax and they described that "Even though theLLM did it wrong 4 times, that 5th time could be right, so why not just go!"; paraphrased of course.

It also explains the meta-LLM business, where all these CEO types put in some question and because the LLM just knows all these words, they believe it's valuable because it's "almost" correct, even when that last correction might be forever elusive because these machines arn't thinking, they're patterning a highly regularized language beneath the more loose descriptions.

There'll definitely be a winner in the AI bubble, but it'll be seen after it pops.


A bit off topic, but I sometimes wonder if OpenOffice would have become as prevalent without wireless ANC headsets be coming the default for focus.

You’re missing the point of a spec

The spec is as much for humans as it is the machine, yes?

Spec should be made before hand and agreed on by stakeholders. It says what it should do. So it’s for whoever is implementing, modifying, and/or testing the code. And unfortunately devs have a tendency of poor documentation

Software development is only 70ish years old and somehow we have already forgotten the very very first thing we learned.

"Just get bulletproof specs that everyone agrees on" is why waterfall style software development doesn't work.

Now suddenly that LLMs are doing the coding, everyone believes that changes?


I’m confused, are you saying that making a design plan and high level spec before hand doesn’t work?

I've seen it happen. Things that seem reasonable on a spec paper, then you go to implement and you realize it's contradictory or utter nonsense.

I mean yeah it happens all the time but you need to start somewhere. But I worked in safety critical self driving firmware and rtl verification before that, so documentation was a necessity

I mean I’ve run red lights but only because I live in a city and there are times where it would be impossible to turn left due to oncoming traffic. So you poke your nose out a bit so the other directions see you and turn when incoming stops but before new directions start.

If I lend a neighbor my kitchen knife and they murder someone with it, should I be liable?

You absolutely can be, especially if you knew, or should have known, that the knife was likely to be used illegally.

While a bit more extreme than your example, there have been multiple cases where the parents of a school shooter have been held responsible because they provided access to a weapon when there were warning signs.

On the less extreme end of the spectrum, this is the same reason why you have to pretend that you are buying a "water pipe for tobacco" and not a bong if you don't want to get kicked out of the headshop (in places where that is still illegal).


3 year before the murder: You are probably fine, IANAL

10 minutes before the murder: Expect to get an accusation of accessory to murder, conspiracy to murder and a few additional tomes of the penal code. We all know you are innocent, but you should better find a good lawyer just in case instead of wasting your last free minutes arguing on the internet.


When subpoenaed, you'd be obligated to tell the court who you gave the knife to.

But if you'd like to tell the fall, I'm sure some prosecutors wouldn't dig too hard to find the guilty party.


It seems in this case they’re not asking, they’re accusing and saying I need to prove otherwise. I think that is substantively different

Edit: subpoena is not a criminal charge afaik is what I’m saying


But even better, is they actually leverage the performance per watt improvements to shrink the battery and maintain the price.


What a snake


Their revenue is literally down over FY25. But it takes less than an hour for VC influencers to come out and and say we all need to work nights and weekends before getting displaced. https://x.com/balajis/status/2027146933136150867?s=46


To be fair X has significantly declined as an experience since Elon laid of 80%. I assume many of those he laid off were soft skill people that helped curate the experience.


As you know, this is a subjective take. (I enjoy my experience there more now, for example, with less social politics in my feed.)

And their head of product claimed that X only has around 30 FT employees apparently working on it, so it's much more than 80% since then.

https://www.ndtv.com/feature/x-head-of-product-claims-compan...


Just because you agree with the social politics the algorithm is throwing out now vs. before doesn't mean it's not political


Experience is usually a subjective thing. But it seems pretty clear to me. I’m was huge advocate of free speech and a political moderate but X made me question my priors on content moderation. There was genuinely heinous shit on my feed and i had no good way to filter it.


There was? It's full of nazi shit now? What was it before?


I used was because I no longer have an account


I don't use that site much nowadays, but every time I do, I am shocked at just how many fucking bugs there are. This idea that they laid off whatever percentage of their workforce with no impact to the quality of the software is not based in reality whatsoever.

And don't get me started on the UX. Fucking dumpster fire of an experience. But network effects gonna network effect.


It has 30 FT people working on the core product. That isn't counting infra/ai/ads/legal/ etc.


I logged into xitter recently after a long time, and my feed was cluttered with anti immigrant scare stories, western values under threat etc. that I got really scared thinking what the future holds if people are getting brain washed to this extent. It was things I never followed anywhere, so Elon is literally stuffing this crap down everyone's throat. Vibes of invention of radio and television powering the Holocaust.


Yeah but this is from an AI company so its mad different


Yea I've noticed that most things made by a company are worse and less reliable than things that are free and maintained by volunteers


This has always been the case, for pretty much everything. There's a reason the world's infrastructure runs on FOSS.


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