Iranian regime-allied forces were a big part of why Iraq was such a quagmire.
The balance of power in the Middle East is shifting from the Sunni~Shia schism that it once was.
Most of the remaining powers are willing to actually engage in diplomacy with Israel & prefer secular groups to Islamist groups.
There's still personality conflicts, such as the one growing between the heads of Saudi Arabia & the UAE, but the general trend seems to be very promising.
Iraq was a quagmire because the US attacked them for no reason at all other than to further Israel's interests. We have no business in the Middle East. Period.
Nah, if anything the Islamist groups are biding their time, waiting for the internationally-supported governments to lose the will to carry on before striking.
The governments, yes, but not the general population necessarily. And the governments can't survive without oil revenue and/or external support, so they'll be losing in the long run.
Successful regime change requires a far more significant investment in soft power than America & Israel's current right-wing leadership would even conceive of.
Yes, critical skepticism is required for processing hype & propaganda.
Keep in mind that predictions of the worst & best outcomes very rarely come true, due in large part to the fact that people react to credible predictions.
For example, the predictions of the worse outcomes of global warming did not come true, in part due to restrictions on greenhouse gas emissions.
The substack article I've linked to below makes a solid argument that you should expect serious information truncation of any sort of widely transmitted belief, so if a widely transmitted belief makes you anxious, the best solution is to go find the truncated information.
The question you need to ask yourself is "What's the end game?"
What happens when users' feeds are full of users that they already know?
You think they'll be satisfied with that?
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