I think that's a joke. You know how you can apply filters with different backgrounds etc.

Instead there would be a filter where it looks like you have closed your eyes.

> but if it does, you don’t get to say you were blindsided.

It's absolutely a commodification of the engineers skills. The shape of this is that if they could, they would cut you out entirely.

So it looks that you will be drawing the short end of the stick at one point or the other.

Oh I agree. I need to be developing more product skills as a result. But the threat of that is very clearly there.

I honestly don't think LLMs is just any tool.

Given you're a freelance dev. Do you have a portfolio or presence somewhere?

There are also good reasons for a lot of countries banning mines. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ottawa_Treaty

Notably USA is not one of those signatories.

Has it affected how you calculate/charge your rates in any way?

I don’t have a good comparison of what rates are like for independent consultants. I have only worked full time salaried for consulting departments - at AWS directly (Professional Services - full time blue badge RSU earning employee) and now for a third party AWS partner.

But let’s say I make more as a staff consultant considering my actual billed hours, benefits (401K, health insurance, paid time off etc) than I would make working independently and I always know how much I’m going to get paid.

But I will say in today’s cloud consulting environment, it is a race to the bottom unless you can lead projects and even then there are relatively few high paying (over $200K with benefits and 80% utilization not including PTO) outside of being a full time employee working in the consulting divisions of AWS, Google (they had an RTO mandate so I ignored recruiters) or maybe Oracle.

The only reason they can justify American rates for someone like me who knows cloud but who is mostly a developer is because I can lead projects and churn out code quickly - thanks to AI.

At the expense of other people. Slot machines is a negative sum game.

Not for the house

I've been feeling it pretty strongly too. The way I see it there are very strong incentives to make this work out. Whether they actually manage to automate a big enough portion of knowledge work is still an open question. A few years ago I would easily say it's 0%. Now, I'm not so sure it feels like a non-zero probability to me.

Either way, planning for it to happen would be better than be taken by surprise if it does.

And to finish the end of the week on a good note.

AI Fails at 96% of Jobs (New Study)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z3kaLM8Oj4o

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Classical prisoner's dilemma.