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My understanding of physics is that no die toss can be considered "fair" because such a macroscopic system behaves deterministically according to Newton's laws, and isn't even too chaotic to model accurately. No matter the shape or balance of the die, the outcome is determined by the initial conditions and the toss. A skilled gambler can make a fair die land however they want.

The only thing I know is that a well-made die is symmetrical, and so if I have no prior knowledge of its initial orientation then I have to use a uniform prior because nothing else has the requisite symmetry group.

The same could be said for a die that is just sitting on the table without having been observed by me yet, no toss needed.



> A skilled gambler can make a fair die land however they want.

No, they can't. Dice control is a myth, and there isn't a single study that backs it up.




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