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Nice simulator.

Did nothing. Costs within a budget. Zero days of school lost. Only 150k dead for 15M infections (~1%).



150k dead in the entirety of the small nation of Czechia. Yikes, that's a lot. I would not use the modifier "only" to describe that death toll. That's 1.4% of the nation's population. For context, that's about 43% of the total WW2 deaths of that nation done in a fraction of the time. I hope the "costs within budget" was worth that.


Also if you use the do nothing strategy, you end up with an economic cost of 400B+. It’s really bad bang for your buck…


Please cite a source for 150K, as that's pretty outlandish. Official government data is 30,311 dead here: https://onemocneni-aktualne.mzcr.cz/covid-19

The czech republic, in general, has below average respiratory outcomes due to higher than average levels of smoking and historically high levels of air pollution under communism (they burned brown coal), as well as an older population (1% of the population experiences acute respiratory infections each year). But all of these factors are improving, with cleaner air, declining smoking rates, etc.


I think you're very confused on the context of my comment. The link that this thread goes to is a simulator that mimics controlling COVID spread in the Czech Republic based on player-controlled government initiatives. I'm replying to someone who said they got 150k deaths in the game. My comment has nothing to do with real world COVID numbers in the Czech Republic.


Go to https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explor... and sort by total death.

In the first position is Peru with ~6000 death/million. After that there are a bunch of countries with ~3000 death/million including Czechia. And then the number goes down.

Czechia has ~11000000 habitants, so 150K/11M is like ~13000 death/million that is the double of the current country with more death/million and like four time bigger than the other countries.


> Please cite a source for 150K

Read the parent of the comment you responded to.


No, that's not a lot. It's only 1%. Much less than the cost of lockdowns. Obviously less than 150% of the population gets infected in real life.


> No, that's not a lot. It's only 1%. Much less than the cost of lockdowns.

Apart from the fact that I can't fathom how you could say that 1% of an entire country's population is "not a lot", do you have a source for how many people died as "cost of lockdowns"? I see this being regurgitated a lot but I doubt that more people died due to lockdowns/restrictions than from Covid19 itself.


Everyone lost more than one year of their life. That alone outweights any benefit.


What do you mean by "lost"? As far as I know we still lived, albeit in more or less restricted circumstances. I would suggest taking a step back and reevaluating if the past year really has been worse than dying.


It absolutely has.


Dying is objectively worse. Don't get me wrong but just in case you're not in a good place, please find somebody to talk to about this. Friends, family, your family doctor, a mental health hotline, anyone. Heck, contact me if you feel like you're out of options, base64 encoded email aGFja2VybmV3c2NvbnRhY3RAZmFzdG1haWwuY29tCg==


Being dead is worse in that it doesn't end, yes. But that year was not worth living.


You get a little scatterplot at the end of the simulation, your result as the bottom right (the "do nothing option") kills 1.4% of the population.

https://imgur.com/nK3wwjv

I managed to keep costs somewhat low with a total of 2300 deaths.


The population of Czechia is 10 million, so that's 1.5%.


15M infections means 15M people of potentially life altering conditions. It could be worse than death


There is still no evidence for that.


Things are dangerous until proven safe. If you’re on a hike, you don’t eat strange berries under the assumption they’re safe.


> Things are dangerous until proven safe. If you’re on a hike, you don’t eat strange berries under the assumption they’re safe.

Yet this doesn't apply to the unknown long-term effects of the mRNA vaccines?


It does. Rational people evaluate the known risks and take a reasonable guess what the unknown risks might be. Conspiracy people gonna conspiracy.


That will take a while because there is no such thing as proof outside mathematics. But the fact that the percentage of people who suffer permanent damage from Covid is neglible and there would have been plenty of time to detect it is as close as it gets.


Blows my mind that there are still people this afraid of the virus, literally postulating worst case scenarios 15 months later. Reality beckons!




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