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Just to provide a counter example to balance your assessment of VCs: Our lead investor has a Ph.D. in EE from Stanford. Our secondary investor has an engineering degree from MIT and is a serial entrepreneur. They have been very helpful in terms of advice and support.


Apparently you don't have a counterexample:

I made two points, that likely the VCs could not evaluate my project and likely only a few VCs could direct an evaluation.

For the first of these two, a EE Ph.D. very likely would not understand the crucial, core applied math of my startup due to not taking the right prerequisite courses in graduate school. If they studied from Luenberger at Stanford, then maybe they would have some of the prerequisites!

For the second, directing a competent review of my work, a EE Ph.D. would likely be able to do that, especially once I gave them a list of reviewers, and I did indicate that a few VCs could so direct a review.

There is a huge problem with VC: Necessarily they are looking for exceptional cases. So, what the average deal looks like provides poor guidance on what a really desirable deal would look like. And since the VCs are also looking for things that are new, what the best deals of the past 10 years looked like also provides little guidance.

There are ways to know that something really is exceptional and powerful early on, and the US DoD has provided a long list of examples for the past 70 years or so. E.g., the first GPS was done by the US Navy for the SSBNs, and the crucial, core work started on the back of an envelop at the JHU/APL. The planning document was enough to remove risk, and the rest is history. Early in my career, I wrote software in the group that did the software for the continually updated orbit determination calculations for that Navy system and heard the stories about how the system was invented and pushed forward. It really is possible to evaluate projects on paper and confirm that they are powerful and exceptional; results on paper are how nearly all of research works, and the work really can be evaluated and seen to be powerful if it is; but nearly no VCs can evaluate projects on paper, and maybe their LPs wouldn't let them fund on that basis anyway.

So, the VCs are looking for exceptional projects, and there are ways to create, present, and evaluate such projects, but VCs don't do or pay attention to those things. This situation is so incredible that it took me a while to believe it. No wonder their ROI is low.




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