That is not the issue at all. There are two main ways of seeing the problem:
1. If the predictor really has such an awesome predicting talent, you have to wonder why. How much information must she have the means to process in order to make such successful predictions? Do you really think you could outperform her?
2. It doesn't matter what she predicts, because the result is independent of her prediction.
This is a problem about determining what is more important to rational decision-making: newly discovered information advantages, or previously known truths. Do you bet on the powerful new technology, or the tried and true past solution? Do you hire the person with a proven track-record of reliable success, or the unproven one with the ground-breaking earth-shattering new idea?
1. If the predictor really has such an awesome predicting talent, you have to wonder why. How much information must she have the means to process in order to make such successful predictions? Do you really think you could outperform her?
2. It doesn't matter what she predicts, because the result is independent of her prediction.
This is a problem about determining what is more important to rational decision-making: newly discovered information advantages, or previously known truths. Do you bet on the powerful new technology, or the tried and true past solution? Do you hire the person with a proven track-record of reliable success, or the unproven one with the ground-breaking earth-shattering new idea?